美国经济学家泰勒:中国肯定会成为世界最大经济体,但未必是最强(13)

问:

很多国家会陷入“中等收入陷阱”,中国该如何防范?

泰勒:

如果你把经济规模(GDP)除以人口数,中国现在大约是美国水平的25%。中国经济势头强劲,只要国家继续实行必要的改革,我预计它将以强劲的速度继续增长。在20或30年内,中等收入陷阱也许会成为一个问题,但我不认为这是中国经济在短期或中期的问题。

If you take the size of the economy (GDP) and divide by population, China is now at about 25% of the US level. China’s economy has strong momentum,and as long as the country keeps embracing the needed changes, I expect it will continue growing at a strong pace. In 20 or 30 years, maybe the middle-income trap will emerge as a problem, but I don’t see it as a problem for China’s economy in the short-term or the medium-term.